Upstream Pressure

Federal Customs Duties as % of Disposable Personal Income

Also tracked as The Import Tax

Federal customs-duty receipts as a share of aggregate disposable personal income

What is the current Federal Customs Duties as % of Disposable Personal Income reading?

CUSTOMS DUTIES / DISPOSABLE INCOME
1.16%
of aggregate disposable personal income received as federal customs duties in 2025
2024
0.38%
up 0.78 percentage points from 2024

In 2025, federal customs duties came to 1.16% of aggregate U.S. disposable personal income, up from 0.38% in 2024. The ratio divides the calendar-year customs-duties total from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis by disposable personal income, also from BEA. It is not a tariff rate or a price effect, and it is not an estimate of the cost borne by an average household. BEA will revise recent years. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data retrieved via FRED (B235RC, A067RC), ratio calculated by American Default Research.

By American Default Research's calculation from Bureau of Economic Analysis data, federal customs duties equaled 1.16% of aggregate disposable personal income in 2025, up from 0.38% in 2024.

This series divides annual federal customs duties by annual U.S. disposable personal income. Both inputs are Bureau of Economic Analysis national accounts estimates in current dollars, and American Default Research computes the ratio; BEA does not publish it.

The 2025 ratio is the highest in our series, which starts in 2015; BEA's customs figures go back to 1929.

The ratio is not a household-incidence estimate. It does not determine how tariff costs are split among importers, producers, retailers and consumers, it is not a per-household cost, and it is not a tariff rate, which divides duties by the value of imports. Disposable income here is the total for all "persons" in the national accounts, including nonprofits that serve households, not the income of a typical family.

BEA's annual update, starting September 30, 2026, will revise the figures for 2021 through 2025. Separately, BEA says many duties collected in 2025 are being refunded after the Supreme Court struck down the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. It records the refund, about $166 billion, as a capital transfer in the first quarter of 2026, not as lower customs duties, so this ratio does not net it out.

Read this fiscal ratio alongside CPI Inflation, car insurance inflation, and the grocery affordability gap as separate cost-pressure measures. None of those series identifies tariff pass-through by itself.

Source: Computed from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis federal customs duties and NIPA disposable personal income data retrieved via FRED · Source data 1 ↗ + Source data 2 ↗ · Latest: 2025

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Federal Customs Duties as % of Disposable Personal Income over time: what has changed?

CSV Chart Card
Customs duties as a share of disposable income, 2025: 1.16%, the highest in our series, which starts in 2015
Annual federal customs duties divided by annual disposable personal income
Federal Customs Duties as % of Disposable Personal Income
Historical data
Annual · Computed from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis federal customs duties and NIPA disposable personal income data retrieved via FRED
Period Value YoY Change
2025 1.16% +0.78 pp
2024 0.38% -0.01 pp
2023 0.39% -0.15 pp
2022 0.54% +0.07 pp
2021 0.47% +0.08 pp
2020 0.39% -0.09 pp
2019 0.48% +0.14 pp
2018 0.34% +0.08 pp
2017 0.26% -0.01 pp
2016 0.27% -0.01 pp
2015 0.28% —

Frequently Asked Questions

What are federal customs duties as a share of income?

This measure reports federal customs-duty receipts as a share of aggregate disposable personal income: 1.16% in 2025. It measures the size of customs collections against the national income base, year by year.

Does this show how much tariffs cost my household?

No. It compares government receipts with the total income of everyone in the national accounts. It does not show who ends up paying tariffs, and it is not a per-household cost. Estimates of household costs, such as those from the Tax Foundation or the Yale Budget Lab, come from models and are different measures.

Where does this data come from?

Both inputs come from the Bureau of Economic Analysis national accounts: customs duties (series B235RC) and disposable personal income (A067RC), in current dollars. A new year first appears with BEA's advance estimate for the fourth quarter, and BEA revises past years in later releases and its annual update.

Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states · founder of Seattle Short Sales · author of Short Sale Your Home

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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Sources and methodology

American Default Research tracks 105 live indicators of household financial distress, including this one. The methodology page explains where each comes from, how often it updates and how the index uses it.
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