Auto Insurance Inflation Premium (Auto CPI minus Overall CPI)
Also tracked as The Coverage Tax
Gap between auto insurance inflation and the overall Consumer Price Index
What is the current Auto Insurance Inflation Premium (Auto CPI minus Overall CPI) reading?
The Auto Insurance Inflation Premium is the 12-month change in the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics motor vehicle insurance price index minus the 12-month change in the all-items index, in percentage points. For August 2026 it reads 8.5 percentage points below zero. That reading is down from 1.7 percentage points in August 2025. It measures price growth for the same policies, so it says nothing about any household's own bill. Source: BLS CPI motor vehicle insurance (CUSR0000SETE) and all items (CPIAUCSL), seasonally adjusted; gap calculated by American Default Research.
Measurement basis: Percentage-point difference between year-over-year changes in the seasonally adjusted Bureau of Labor Statistics Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI (CUSR0000SETE) and seasonally adjusted all-items CPI-U (CPIAUCSL); seasonally adjusted values may be revised
Motor vehicle insurance prices trailed overall consumer prices by 8.5 percentage points in the 12 months to August 2026.
The Auto Insurance Inflation Premium sets two Bureau of Labor Statistics price measures side by side: the 12-month change in the consumer price index for motor vehicle insurance, and the 12-month change for all items. In August 2026, the insurance rate was 8.5 percentage points below the all-items rate. That is the lowest reading since October 2020. The gap is down from a reading of 1.7 percentage points in August 2025. A month earlier, in July 2026, it read -7.8 percentage points.
A reading below zero means motor vehicle insurance prices went up more slowly than consumer prices overall, or came down. The gap is measured in percentage points: the difference between two percent changes. It has been on both sides of zero since 2001, and BLS gives no cause for its sign or size.
In this measure's name, premium means the gap between the two rates. The insurance index itself prices the same private car insurance policies each month, holding the driver, the car and the coverage constant, so a household's own premium can move differently. Motor vehicle insurance carried about 2.8 percent of the consumer price index's weight in December 2025. Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI shows the insurance rate on its own, and CPI Inflation Rate (All Items) the overall rate it is set against.
American Default Research computes the gap from the seasonally adjusted indexes, meaning BLS has removed the usual calendar swings; BLS headlines 12-month changes from the unadjusted ones and does not publish this gap. There is no reading for October or November 2025, the months of the federal government shutdown, and there will be none for October or November 2026. The CPI covers urban consumers, over 90 percent of the U.S. population.
Explore Further
Is this happening to you?
Has your auto insurance premium jumped even though your driving record hasn't changed?
Auto Insurance Inflation Premium (Auto CPI minus Overall CPI) over time: what has changed?
Counties with the highest debt burden scores
These are debt burden scores from our County Distress Index, not county readings of Auto Insurance Inflation Premium (Auto CPI minus Overall CPI).
Explore all 3,144 counties →| Period | Value | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | -8.5 pp | -10.2 pp |
| Jul 2026 | -7.8 pp | -10.3 pp |
| Jun 2026 | -7.6 pp | -11.1 pp |
| May 2026 | -6.2 pp | -10.8 pp |
| Apr 2026 | -3.6 pp | -7.6 pp |
| Mar 2026 | -2.5 pp | — |
| Feb 2026 | -2.3 pp | — |
| Jan 2026 | -1.8 pp | — |
| Dec 2025 | 0.2 pp | — |
| Sep 2025 | 0.1 pp | -13.8 pp |
| Aug 2025 | 1.7 pp | -12.1 pp |
| Jul 2025 | 2.5 pp | -13.1 pp |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the auto insurance inflation premium?
It is the 12-month change in motor vehicle insurance CPI minus the 12-month change in all-items CPI, in percentage points. The August 2026 reading is 8.5 percentage points below zero, meaning motor vehicle insurance prices grew more slowly than prices overall, or came down. A month earlier, in July 2026, the gap was higher, at -7.8 percentage points.
Does a negative reading mean car insurance got cheaper?
Not by itself. A negative reading means motor vehicle insurance prices rose more slowly than prices overall, or fell; Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI shows which. The gap also says nothing about any household's own premium, which moves with its own car, drivers and coverage.
Where does this data come from?
Both rates come from the Bureau of Labor Statistics consumer price index, published monthly between the 10th and 14th of the following month. American Default Research computes the gap from the seasonally adjusted series CUSR0000SETE (motor vehicle insurance) and CPIAUCSL (all items). It is a national figure, not available for states or counties, and it is not an input to the American Distress Index.
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