Upstream Pressure

Food and Beverages CPI

Year-over-year change in food and beverage prices

What is the current Food and Beverages CPI?

GROCERY PRICE INFLATION
3.08% ↑ Worsening
year-over-year increase in food prices
One year ago
2.9% ↑ Worsening
up 0.2 points since May 2025

The food-at-home Consumer Price Index rose 3.1% year-over-year in May 2026, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Grocery prices have outpaced overall inflation cumulatively since 2020, even as the year-over-year rate has moderated. Source: BLS CPI (CUSR0000SAF1).

Food and beverage inflation is running at 3.1%. It lands on top of years of grocery-price increases that never reversed.

Food inflation fell hard through 2023 and most of 2024. The year-over-year rate dipped as low as 2.1 percent in August 2024, the softest food-and-beverages print since 2021. For a moment it looked like the grocery aisle had finally caught up to the rest of the disinflation story.

It reversed. BLS data shows food and beverage CPI back above 3 percent as of May 2026, and the trajectory through late 2025 was a steady climb. Whatever cooling was in the pipeline has stopped. Dairy, beef, and coffee categories have all re-accelerated. Processing costs and the new tariff regime tracked in The Import Tax are both feeding through.

The annual rate cooling and then climbing does not reverse what the cumulative damage has done. Grocery Prices Cumulative Change Since Jan 2020 sits at 32.6 percent. Households are not paying 2020 prices. They are paying 2026 prices, which are now climbing again at a pace above overall inflation.

The Grocery Gap shows the combined effect. Wage growth is running just 0.4 percentage points ahead of food-at-home inflation. That cushion was wider a year ago. It is narrowing as food prices reaccelerate. The reacceleration is doing most of the work.

Source: BLS · Latest: 2026-05

Explore Further

How has Food and Beverages CPI changed over time?

CSV Chart Card
Food price inflation has re-accelerated in early 2026
Food and beverages CPI, year-over-year percentage change
Food and Beverages CPI
Historical data
Monthly · BLS
Period Value YoY Change
May 2026 3.08% +0.2 pts
Apr 2026 3.22% +0.5 pts
Mar 2026 2.75% −0.2 pts
Feb 2026 3.14% +0.6 pts
Jan 2026 2.93% +0.5 pts
Dec 2025 3.04% +0.6 pts
Nov 2025 2.62% +0.3 pts
Sep 2025 3.11% +0.8 pts
Aug 2025 3.2% +1.1 pts
Jul 2025 2.89% +0.7 pts
Jun 2025 2.99% +0.7 pts
May 2025 2.9% +0.7 pts

Frequently Asked Questions

How fast are grocery prices rising?

Food-at-home prices rose 3.1% year-over-year in the May 2026 BLS report. Cumulatively, grocery prices remain meaningfully higher than their pre-pandemic level.

Why does food inflation matter for financial distress?

Food is non-discretionary spending. When grocery costs rise faster than wages, households must cut other spending or take on debt to eat — a direct driver of the financial distress the ADI tracks.

Where does food CPI data come from?

Published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics as part of the CPI report, series CUSR0000SAF1 (food at home).

Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Twice named to Puget Sound Business Journal Fast 50 for Ark Law Group. B.A., University of California, Berkeley, 1992. Founded American Default Research in 2026 to fill a gap in public data that had been empty since 2013.

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Why does Food and Beverages CPI matter?

Food and Beverages CPI is one of 88 live indicators tracked by American Default Research. The methodology page explains sources, update cadence, and how the index uses its published inputs.
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