How Affordable Is Housing in the U.S. Right Now?

The Census median sales price of new houses sold was $410,700 in Q2 2026, little changed from $416,100 a year earlier, according to the Census Bureau's survey of new residential sales (FRED series MSPUS). MSPUS does not include existing-home sales, does not track the same house through time, and is not the price of a "typical U.S. home." Changes can reflect both market prices and the mix of new houses sold.

The mortgage debt service ratio — aggregate scheduled mortgage payments as a share of disposable personal income — stands at 5.8%, little changed from 5.9% in Q1 2026. In Q2 2026, the latest quarter shared by the two delinquency series, FHA mortgage delinquency was 11.79%, and the bank-booked single-family mortgage rate was 1.9%. Those measures have different populations and cannot be used to describe one borrower or explain the difference.

Key Statistics at a Glance

$411K Median sales price of new houses sold (U.S., MSPUS) Q2 2026
11.79% FHA mortgage delinquency rate Q2 2026
5.8% Mortgage debt service ratio (% of disposable income) Q2 2026
3.0% Shelter CPI year-over-year August 2026
$458.5B HELOC balances outstanding (nominal dollars) Q2 2026
$505B New mortgages on credit reports in the quarter (purchase and refinance) Q2 2026

The American Distress Index currently reads 47.0 (Typical). The composite itself sits higher than 44% of all published quarters since 2005. Two measures on this page also appear in the index: mortgage delinquency feeds the Delinquency domain, while the mortgage debt service ratio feeds Debt Burden. New-house prices, shelter CPI, HELOC balances, and originations are separate context measures; this page does not infer a fixed sequence among them.

How Has the Median Sales Price of New Houses Changed?

The median sales price of new houses sold in the U.S. was $410,700 in Q2 2026, little changed from $416,100 a year earlier. Census puts the relative standard error of the quarterly median at about three percent, so smaller moves can be sampling noise, and the latest quarter is preliminary. In 2019 the median averaged $320,250. Prices are in current dollars, not adjusted for inflation, and this does not calculate a monthly payment or describe existing homes.

Within this same new-house series, the highest median before 2008 was $257,400 in 2007, and the lowest median in 2008–2011 was $208,400 in 2009. These are distribution medians for new houses sold in each quarter, not gains for a continuing set of homeowners or a buyer-level calculation of equity, affordability, delinquency risk, or ability to keep a house.

Median Sales Price of New Houses Sold, U.S. (Thousands)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau data retrieved via FRED (MSPUS), median sales price of new houses sold. Quarterly; excludes existing-home sales.

What Does the Mortgage Debt Service Ratio Measure?

The mortgage debt service ratio — aggregate scheduled mortgage payments as a share of disposable personal income — stands at 5.8% as of Q2 2026, little changed from 5.9% in Q1 2026. That is the lowest ratio since Q2 2025. In 2019 it averaged 5.9%, and its highest reading before 2008 was 9.0% in Q4 2007.

The Board's current method starts in 2005, and older published figures from its earlier method cannot be set beside these. This is an aggregate ratio, not an average monthly payment, borrower-level debt-to-income ratio, underwriting measure, or estimate for FHA borrowers. Its income side covers everyone, renters and owners without a mortgage included, and changes can reflect either the payment numerator or the disposable-income denominator.

Mortgage Debt Service Ratio (% of Disposable Income)

Source: Federal Reserve data retrieved via FRED (MDSP). Quarterly.

How Do FHA and Bank-Booked Mortgage Delinquency Compare?

MBA's FHA delinquency rate was 11.79% in Q2 2026, little changed from 11.88% in Q1 2026. A year earlier, in Q2 2025, it was 10.57%. The Fed bank-booked single-family mortgage rate was 1.9% in Q2 2026, the same as in Q1 2026. MBA's FHA rate counts loans at least one payment behind; the Fed's rate is the share of loan dollars on commercial banks' books 30 or more days past due or in nonaccrual status, and it includes FHA and VA loans.

The sources cover different mortgage populations and are released independently. Their rates do not identify the same loans or establish that borrower selection, rates, equity, income, or another factor caused the gap.

Metric FHA Loans Fed Bank-Booked Series
Latest delinquency rate 11.79% (Q2 2026) 1.9% (Q2 2026)
Source population FHA-insured first-lien mortgages serviced by companies in the MBA National Delinquency Survey One- to four-family residential loans, including home equity lines, on commercial banks' books (Federal Reserve call-report data)
Comparison limit Different populations and delinquency definitions; the series do not identify the same loans or explain the gap.
Role in the American Distress Index Context comparison Mortgage delinquency input to the Delinquency domain

FHA vs. Bank-Booked Mortgage Delinquency Rate

Source: MBA National Delinquency Survey (FHA); Federal Reserve data retrieved via FRED DRSFRMACBS (bank-booked single-family mortgages), matched by quarter.

What Do Outstanding HELOC Balances Show?

Borrowers owed $458.5 billion on home equity lines of credit in Q2 2026, up $47.5 billion from $411 billion a year earlier, according to the New York Fed's Household Debt and Credit Report. That is the highest balance since Q4 2016, in dollars not adjusted for inflation. Balances have been above their year-earlier level for 16 quarters in a row.

The series counts drawn balances on credit reports, not credit limits, home equity installment loans, or people. Outstanding balances do not show the amount of new borrowing, how funds were used, why balances changed, or whether the borrowers are the same households represented in saving-rate or hardship-withdrawal data.

HELOC Balances Outstanding (Billions)

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Household Debt and Credit Report. Quarterly, nominal dollars.

Keep the Housing Measures Separate

New mortgages worth $504.6 billion first appeared on credit reports in Q2 2026, up from $458.3 billion a year earlier, according to the New York Fed. That total counts purchase loans and refinances in one quarter; it is not total mortgage debt. The $410,700 price figure is the Census median for new houses sold, not the price of all homes available to buyers. Those two measures have different units and populations.

FHA delinquency and bank-booked mortgage delinquency also cover different populations. Their gap is descriptive; it does not establish which borrowers entered when, what mortgage rate they carry, or why either rate changed.

Read the FHA Signal analysis →

What Does Shelter CPI Show for Housing Costs?

Shelter prices, covering rent, owners' equivalent rent, hotels and tenants' insurance, were 3% higher than a year earlier in August 2026, down from a rate of 3.6% in August 2025, by our calculation from the seasonally adjusted BLS index (CUSR0000SAH1). On our seasonally adjusted basis, that is the lowest 12-month rate since August 2021. The Fed's 2% longer-run inflation objective is defined using PCE inflation rather than Shelter CPI. The pre-pandemic reference point on this seasonally adjusted basis is the 2015-2019 average of 3.3%.

Shelter CPI measures rent of primary residence and owners' equivalent rent within the national CPI framework. It is not a current asking-rent index, mortgage-payment series, or household-specific housing bill, and the page does not use it to forecast a future reading. Our rent and housing cost statistics page shows the same scope alongside separately measured housing-cost indicators.

Where Can Readers Find Lender and Servicer Context?

The origination-volume series does not rank individual lenders or establish current market share. For company-specific contact and complaint context, use the servicer directory; inclusion there is not a size, quality, or risk ranking.

Data Sources

CPI measurement basis: Every CPI reading and historical comparison on this page uses its source-owned basis unless explicitly identified otherwise: Year-over-year percent change computed from the seasonally adjusted BLS Shelter CPI (CUSR0000SAH1); seasonally adjusted values may be revised.

U.S. Census Bureau data retrieved via FRED

Median Sales Price of Houses Sold (MSPUS), a quarterly Census series for new houses sold in the United States, not seasonally adjusted. It excludes existing-home sales and should not be described as the median price of all U.S. homes. Published via FRED.

Federal Reserve data retrieved via FRED

Mortgage Debt Service Payments as a Percent of Disposable Personal Income (MDSP). Under the Board's current method, which starts in 2005, scheduled payments on mortgages in a sample of credit records are divided by the disposable personal income of all persons. Bank-booked single-family mortgage delinquency rate (DRSFRMACBS) from bank call reports.

NY Fed / MBA

Household Debt and Credit Report (HELOC balances, mortgage originations) from a random sample of Equifax credit reports drawn from the New York Fed's 5% Consumer Credit Panel. MBA National Delinquency Survey (FHA delinquency), a voluntary survey of participating servicers that does not cover every FHA loan.

Frequently Asked Questions

How affordable is housing in the U.S. right now?

The Census median sales price of new houses sold was $410,700 in Q2 2026, little changed from $416,100 a year earlier. MSPUS covers new houses sold; it is not the median for all U.S. homes or a complete affordability measure, because it carries no mortgage rate, payment or income. Separately, scheduled mortgage payments equaled 5.8% of U.S. disposable personal income in Q2 2026, little changed from 5.9% in Q1 2026.

What is the current mortgage delinquency rate?

In Q2 2026, the latest quarter both series report, the Federal Reserve bank-booked single-family mortgage delinquency rate was 1.9%, while FHA mortgage delinquency was 11.79%. The two measure different things: MBA's FHA rate counts loans at least one payment behind, and the Fed's rate is a share of loan dollars 30 or more days past due or in nonaccrual status. They do not identify the same loans, borrower traits, or cause of the difference.

What do HELOC balances show?

Borrowers owed $458.5 billion on home equity lines of credit in Q2 2026, up $47.5 billion from $411 billion a year earlier, according to the New York Fed's Household Debt and Credit Report. That is the highest balance since Q4 2016, in dollars not adjusted for inflation. The figure is drawn balances on credit reports. It does not identify how borrowers used the funds, why balances changed, or whether the same households also appear in savings or hardship-withdrawal data.

How does the FHA delinquency rate compare to the Fed bank-booked mortgage series?

In Q2 2026, the most recent quarter both series report, the FHA-insured mortgage delinquency rate was 11.79% and the Fed bank-booked single-family mortgage rate was 1.9%. MBA's FHA rate counts loans at least one payment behind; the Fed's rate is the share of loan dollars on commercial banks' books 30 or more days past due or in nonaccrual status, and it includes FHA and VA loans. Because the measures, populations and source systems differ, the two are not like-for-like.

What does housing affordability have to do with the American Distress Index?

Mortgage delinquency is an input to the American Distress Index's Delinquency domain, and the aggregate mortgage debt service ratio is an input to its Debt Burden domain. The other housing measures on this page are context rather than direct inputs. The index currently reads 47.0 (Typical). The composite itself sits higher than 44% of all published quarters since 2005.

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