Credit Card Defaults After the Cutover

Published: April 2026 | American Default Research

Credit-card stress remains a core measurement surface, but the family-v1 ADI separates delinquency and charge-offs under the family method.

The earlier credit-card essay mixed useful borrower-split evidence with retired ADI component language. The family method makes the separation clearer. Delinquency belongs to the Delinquency domain. Charge-offs belong to Default & Legal. Each domain receives equal weight in the national composite.

Credit-card stress remains important inside that measurement boundary. A delinquency rate, a charge-off rate, and a small-bank split are different claims and should stay on their own indicator surfaces.

The ADI reference page publishes the maintained national reading with its required band gloss. The score is a mean of input percentiles.

For source data, use credit card delinquency, credit card charge-offs, and small-bank card delinquency.

Refresh Trace

2026-06-12
ADI 44.6 2025-Q4 · Band 3 of 5 - On average, its inputs sit higher than in 45% of their own quarterly histories since 2005
Tracked Rank 7 / 7 refresh history
Refresh Delta -19.95 2026-06-12
Co-moving indicator Source Period Delta
CFPB Consumer Complaint Volume Consumer Financial Protection Bureau 2026-05 +33131
Continued Unemployment Claims (SA) DOL via FRED 2026-05-30 +18000
Total Consumer Credit Outstanding Federal Reserve via FRED 2026-04 +12549.92
Total Revolving Credit Outstanding Federal Reserve via FRED 2026-04 +11700.88
Initial Unemployment Claims (SA) DOL via FRED 2026-06-06 +4000
credit cardsdelinquencydefault and legaldebt stress
Ross Kilburn

Ross Kilburn has spent over two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from negotiating more than 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession to generating leads for a foreclosure defense law firm today. He is the author of The Complete Guide to Short Sales and the founder of American Default Research. Full bio →

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